Stock Market Update Monday April 21, 2025
- AlgoTradeAlert
- Apr 21
- 5 min read
Stock Market Update Monday April 21, 2025 Stocks plummeted 2.4% on the S&P 500, deepening the blue-chip index’s two-month decline to 16%, though a late-session rally trimmed losses by approximately one percentage point.
Away From Stocks: Treasurys struggled as yield curve steepening intensified; the 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.91%, up from 4.5% earlier this month. WTI crude oil dipped below $63 per barrel, while gold surged over 3% to $3,425 per ounce. Bitcoin advanced past $87,000, and the VIX, a measure of market volatility, rose four points to close near 34.
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Q1 2025 Earnings: Tesla Sets The Tone
Earnings season has started, and Tesla (TSLA) will report its results on Tuesday, April 22nd, after the market closes. Expectations are low, and investor sentiment is negative. This could lead to a potential price increase if Tesla's results simply meet expectations. Also, a surprise announcement from Elon Musk during the earnings call could trigger a rally. It seems investors are already anticipating disappointing results.

Bottom Line:
We are not attempting to call the bottom or time the market. Long positions will only be initiated upon confirmation from our proprietary buy signal. Our proprietary trading algorithm has triggered sell signals across all five major U.S. equity benchmarks: SPY, RSP, QQQ, IWM, and DIA ETFs. The corresponding signal dates are detailed below and visualized on the accompanying charts. Given the elevated uncertainty and lack of a confirmed buy signal from our proprietary algorithm, we strongly advise against initiating new long positions or adding exposure at this time. Once our algorithm generates a buy confirmation, we will look to reallocate capital into existing or new sector-specific positions accordingly. March 19, 2025 Algorithmic Sell Signals & Market Trends March 3, 2025 – Sell alert triggered for S&P 500 Equal Weight RSP ETF, bringing the total to five major indexes on sell alerts. February 24, 2025 – Sell signal issued for Russell 2000 IWM ETF, confirmed by a prior weekly chart sell alert on February 21. February 24, 2025 – Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) moved to sell condition. W.D. Gann Cycle Pivot Date for the S&P 500 (SPX) on Saturday, April 5, 2025. Historically, these cycle dates often coincide with significant inflection points in price action.
Tariff “Liberation Day” Still No Liberation For Stock Markets
Stock prices fell sharply today due to several problems, both international and within the country. China warned over the weekend that it might take action against countries that make trade deals that hurt China's interests. This is similar to what the U.S. has done in the past and has worried investors, who now fear more trade conflicts and are less willing to take risks. Adding to the negative mood, the White House has criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell again. This political pressure on the Fed is making investors worry about a conflict between the government's spending policies and the Fed's monetary policies. This is hurting investor confidence and making the future seem even less certain. However, the worsening market situation might force the government to take positive action. This could lead to a positive surprise, such as progress in trade talks or measures to boost economic growth. Although the market is likely to be unstable in the short term, investors are watching for any positive developments that could reverse the current downward trend.
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