Stock Market Update Friday July 25, 2025
- Jul 25, 2025
- 5 min read
Stock Market Update Friday July 25, 2025 U.S. equities opened on a muted note but gained traction throughout the session, closing near session highs and extending a robust weekly advance. The S&P 500 rose 0.4% on the day, notching fresh all-time highs and finishing the week with a solid 1.5% gain. The tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) edged up 0.2%, while small-cap stocks, represented by the Russell 2000 (IWM), also added 0.4%, reflecting broad-based strength across market segments.
Away From Stocks: Treasury curve flattened, as long-end yields eased—30-year yields fell four basis points to 4.92%, while the two-year note held steady at 3.91%, underscoring a more cautious stance on the growth outlook. In commodities, WTI crude declined to $65 per barrel amid softening demand signals, while gold continued to face headwinds, slipping to $3,339 per ounce. Bitcoin reversed recent gains, falling back to $117,000, and market volatility remained subdued, with the VIX dipping below the 15 handle.
Key Events Next Week: A Busy Week Ahead
The last week of July is packed with important economic and corporate events:
**Wednesday, July 30:**
* 8:30 AM: June Core PCE (The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation)
* 2:00 PM: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) July Rate Decision
**Friday, August 1:**
* 8:30 AM: July Non-Farm Payrolls Report
* 10:00 AM: July ISM Manufacturing Index
* Tariff implementation date
Also, 163 companies in the S&P 500 will release their earnings reports next week, making it the busiest week of the second quarter earnings season. We believe the stock market is likely to end July positively, supported by strong earnings reports and greater certainty about macroeconomic policy.
Washington Watch: Artificial Intelligence Takes Center Stage
President Trump signed three new Executive Orders aimed at reinforcing U.S. leadership in artificial intelligence. A consistent theme across speakers was that AI is proving to be more of a skill multiplier than a job displacer — a constructive signal for labor productivity and economic resilience.
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