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Stock Market Update Wednesday October 29, 2025

  • Oct 29, 2025
  • 2 min read

Stock Market Update Wednesday October 29, 2025 Stocks ended the session little changed, with the S&P 500 finishing flat after Fed Chair Jerome Powell cautioned that a December rate cut is “no foregone conclusion” following today’s 25-basis-point reduction.

Rate expectations cooled sharply — Polymarket odds of a December cut fell from 90% this morning to 65% post-Powell, as traders recalibrated their outlook for further easing. We expect some profit-taking into month-end as markets digest the shift in tone.


By index:

  • S&P 500: unchanged

  • Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.4%

  • Russell 2000 (IWM): –0.9%


Away From Stocks: Treasury yields climbed, with the 2-year up 12 basis points to 3.59% and the 30-year higher by 6 basis points to 4.61%. Crude oil held steady at $60 a barrel, gold slipped to $3,940 an ounce, and bitcoin traded near $110,000. The VIX edged above 17, reflecting a mild rise in volatility expectations.


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